Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.841644 1.036041 1.244319 1.482017 1.743840 2.021675 2.337073
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.623646 0.893671 1.205802 1.584491 2.023584 2.509788 3.082299
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.484119 0.783669 1.150477 1.614836 2.171484 2.804134 3.565193
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.369768 0.682037 1.087537 1.621955 2.281986 3.049138 3.988584
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.263474 0.567427 0.988986 1.568301 2.305150 3.180015 4.269114
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.183295 0.471740 0.901182 1.516369 2.320868 3.294730 4.524844
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.128554 0.401316 0.837470 1.486863 2.357205 3.428385 4.798004
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.098803 0.366241 0.819944 1.515863 2.465660 3.648680 5.174388
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.071829 0.327714 0.791629 1.525787 2.546377 3.832706 5.505657
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.045535 0.279020 0.740105 1.497406 2.572558 3.945684 5.748105
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.039914 0.279958 0.771357 1.590400 2.762643 4.267256 6.249099
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.033974 0.277650 0.796035 1.673247 2.939067 4.571944 6.730144
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.028517 0.276944 0.827387 1.773335 3.149582 4.933746 7.299914
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.023462 0.275407 0.857356 1.872735 3.361753 5.301308 7.881871
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.015278 0.255217 0.849310 1.911139 3.487557 5.555992 8.321588
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007820 0.227234 0.822191 1.917195 3.566702 5.749496 8.684583
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001770 0.184622 0.757898 1.858721 3.550948 5.816378 8.885942
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000017 0.147735 0.697477 1.801218 3.532787 5.877372 9.077736
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.121413 0.654547 1.768712 3.547492 5.979158 9.318836
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.111138 0.649373 1.800709 3.657029 6.208188 9.723820
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.097769 0.633133 1.811671 3.734443 6.393594 10.072629
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.078531 0.595022 1.780337 3.746445 6.489200 10.304554
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.082924 0.629090 1.882911 3.962913 6.864739 10.901536